Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Central Michigan O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming college football game between Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan, scheduled for November 4 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the g…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.2M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Jetzt „Prognose: Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →