Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 98% |
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 36.5 | 79% |
| O/U 38.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| O/U 40.5 | 68% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| O/U 41.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 42.5 | 63% |
| O/U 43.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Safety? | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| O/U 48.5 | 43% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 42% |
| Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| O/U 54.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -19.5 | 15% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: panthers vs. falcons 98%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". I…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $3.8M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Panthers vs. Falcons über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Panthers vs. Falcons" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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