Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 91% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| O/U 29.5 | 88% |
| O/U 24.5 | 87% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 84% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 84% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| O/U 34.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 71% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 37.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 38.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 60% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 40.5 | 57% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 1H Moneyline | 55% |
| O/U 41.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 51% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 46% |
| O/U 43.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| O/U 44.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| O/U 46.5 | 36% |
| Spread -19.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | 33% |
| O/U 47.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 29% |
| O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 48.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 24% |
| O/U 51.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 50.5 | 23% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 19% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| O/U 53.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| O/U 54.5 | 16% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| O/U 55.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| O/U 57.5 | 12% |
| O/U 56.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 7% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| O/U 65.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Ravens vs. Falcons — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $4.2M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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