Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 100% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 39.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 62% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 10% |
| O/U 41.5 | 10% |
| O/U 51.5 | 10% |
| O/U 53.5 | 10% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 0% |
| Safety? | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 0% |
| Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chargers 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Chargers O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Cardinals vs. Chargers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is po…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.3M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
Jetzt „Prognose: Cardinals vs. Chargers" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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