Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 31.5 | 89% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 74% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 52% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 49% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 48% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| O/U 55.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Packers vs. Vikings. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 45% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T20:25:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $110K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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