Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Race to 10 | 99% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| O/U 213.5 | 91% |
| O/U 205.5 | 90% |
| O/U 211.5 | 90% |
| O/U 215.5 | 89% |
| O/U 217.5 | 86% |
| O/U 207.5 | 85% |
| O/U 219.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 80% |
| O/U 223.5 | 77% |
| O/U 203.5 | 75% |
| O/U 225.5 | 73% |
| Race to 20 | 72% |
| O/U 227.5 | 70% |
| Race to 30 | 68% |
| O/U 229.5 | 66% |
| O/U 231.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 61% |
| O/U 232.5 | 60% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 58% |
| O/U 233.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| O/U 235.5 | 55% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 54% |
| Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 237.5 | 52% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nuggets O/U 116.5 | 51% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -22.5 | 46% |
| O/U 239.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 45% |
| Team to Score First | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 241.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | 40% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 243.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 245.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Spread -11.5 | 29% |
| O/U 247.5 | 29% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 249.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| Spread -15.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 5% |
| Spread -29.5 | 4% |
| Spread -31.5 | 4% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Warriors vs. Nuggets" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 99% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is p…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.4M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Warriors vs. Nuggets" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →