Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 99% |
| O/U 43.5 | 97% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 97% |
| O/U 49.5 | 96% |
| South Alabama O/U 20.5 | 96% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 93% |
| South Alabama O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| O/U 55.5 | 90% |
| O/U 57.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 85% |
| O/U 51.5 | 84% |
| O/U 53.5 | 83% |
| O/U 59.5 | 83% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 82% |
| O/U 61.5 | 80% |
| O/U 63.5 | 74% |
| O/U 65.5 | 72% |
| O/U 67.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 69.5 | 58% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| O/U 71.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 73.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 75.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: south alabama vs. arkansas state 100%. In the upcoming college football game between South Alabama and Arkansas State, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Alabama" if South Alabama w…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $776K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: South Alabama vs. Arkansas State" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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