Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 23.5 | 92% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 25.5 | 88% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 88% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 88% |
| O/U 26.5 | 86% |
| O/U 27.5 | 84% |
| O/U 28.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 80% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 80% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 78% |
| O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| O/U 31.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 69% |
| O/U 33.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 34.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 35.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| O/U 36.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | 56% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 55% |
| O/U 37.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 38.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 49% |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 46% |
| Safety? | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 46% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| O/U 40.5 | 45% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 42.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| O/U 43.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| O/U 44.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 45.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 48.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| O/U 51.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 50.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| O/U 52.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| O/U 53.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 13% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| O/U 55.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| O/U 56.5 | 8% |
| O/U 58.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 7% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: steelers vs. buccaneers 92%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Steelers and Buccaneers, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Steelers" if Steelers win the game. This mark…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $141K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Steelers vs. Buccaneers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Steelers vs. Buccaneers" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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