Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 21.5 | 94% |
| O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| O/U 24.5 | 89% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 89% |
| O/U 25.5 | 88% |
| O/U 26.5 | 85% |
| O/U 27.5 | 84% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 84% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 83% |
| O/U 28.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 79% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 77% |
| O/U 30.5 | 76% |
| O/U 31.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| O/U 33.5 | 67% |
| O/U 34.5 | 65% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles | 62% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 58% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| O/U 38.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 46% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| O/U 40.5 | 45% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Panthers vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 43% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 43% |
| O/U 41.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Safety? | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| O/U 42.5 | 39% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| O/U 43.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 36% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| O/U 45.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| O/U 47.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 26% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| O/U 48.5 | 22% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| O/U 52.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| O/U 54.5 | 12% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 56.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 62.5 | 8% |
| O/U 59.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| O/U 58.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 94% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Panthers vs. Eagles. In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Eagles, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Panthers" if Panthers win the game. This market will resolve to "Eagl…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $320K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Panthers vs. Eagles auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23be123c%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
und%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Jetzt „Prognose: Panthers vs. Eagles" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →