Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 90% |
| O/U 45.5 | 86% |
| Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| North Dakota State O/U 23.5 | 83% |
| Spread -1.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 78% |
| Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| O/U 49.5 | 75% |
| Spread -4.5 | 72% |
| O/U 51.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 66% |
| Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| O/U 53.5 | 61% |
| Nevada O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Dakota State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nevada O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Nevada O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| North Dakota State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 26% |
| Spread -18.5 | 26% |
| Spread -19.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 25% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| O/U 75.5 | 25% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| Spread -15.5 | 23% |
| O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Spread -22.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| Nevada vs. North Dakota State | 13% |
| Spread -1.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 12% |
| Spread -2.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Spread -5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| Spread -33.5 | 5% |
| Spread -30.5 | 4% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Nevada 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Nevada vs. North Dakota State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 13% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $173K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Nevada vs. North Dakota State" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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