Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 75% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 72% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 70% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 63% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 62% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 53% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 51% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 45% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 40% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 33% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 31% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 29% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 27% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 27% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 27% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 23% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 23% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 23% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 22% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 21% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 20% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 20% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 15% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 9% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 9% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 9% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 6% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 4% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 75%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props" auf Prognosewetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →