Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prognosewetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 37.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| O/U 39.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Wyoming O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Wyoming O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| O/U 45.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 34% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| O/U 49.5 | 32% |
| 1H Moneyline | 31% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| O/U 51.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| O/U 53.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 55.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 6% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| O/U 69.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 73% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Wyoming, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illinois win the game. T…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $154K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prognosewetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prognosewetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prognosewetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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